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2024-12-13 04:27:59

Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.China automobile dealers association: In November, the inventory coefficient of automobile dealers was 1.11, with a slight increase of 0.9% month-on-month. china automobile dealers association released the survey results of "Automobile Dealer Inventory" in November 2024: the comprehensive inventory coefficient of automobile dealers in November was 1.11, with a slight increase of 0.9% month-on-month and a decrease of 22.4% year-on-year. The inventory level was below the warning line and within a reasonable range.


Aouita 06 was unveiled, with an estimated price of 250,000 yuan. On December 10th, the announcement information of Aouita 06 Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the fourth model of Aouita, was exposed. Internally, the car is positioned as a young luxury medium-sized car, which will be equipped with two intelligent driving schemes: Huawei Lidar+Gankun Intelligent Driving and Pure Vision. The estimated price is about 250,000 yuan, and it will be listed in the second quarter of 2025.Today, Shanzi Hi-Tech's daily limit was 300 million yuan for Ningbo Zhongshan West Road of Yongxing Securities, and Shanzi Hi-Tech's daily limit was 6.211 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 32.07%. After-hours data showed that Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 203 million yuan for special seats and sold 199 million yuan, while Yongxing Securities sold 300 million yuan for Ningbo Zhongshan West Road and 91.8558 million yuan for special seats for one institution.Mao Geping opened 59.90% higher on the first day of listing, and Mao Geping opened 59.90% higher on the first day of listing. According to public information, the subscription for public offering of new shares of Hong Kong stocks in Mao Geping reached HK$ 173.814 billion, oversubscribed by 826.27 times, making it the "king of frozen capital" in the new stock market of Hong Kong stocks this year.


New quality productivity is still the core of policy orientation! Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%. On December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%, with a turnover of 667 million yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Guo Dun Quantum up 6.19%, Siwei up 4.18%, and Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-nano and Alice followed suit. Huajin Securities said that developing new quality productivity is still the main policy orientation. The meeting clearly put forward that "scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productivity", showing that the emerging industries related to the eight new quality productivity are still the main direction of the policy. From a short-term perspective, positive policies are expected to drive A-shares to start the New Year's market. First, from the molecular perspective, the meeting may raise the market's expectation of economic recovery: the meeting can expect to adjust fiscal and monetary easing next year and further economic recovery. In terms of liquidity, further easing of monetary policy is expected to rise.Chen Long was selected into the World Badminton Hall of Fame, and Guoyu won many awards of the year. On December 9, Beijing time, the welcome dinner of the 2024 World Badminton Year-end Finals and the award ceremony of the best athlete of the year were held in Hangzhou. The ceremony announced the results of the best selection of the year. Guoyu gained a lot and won many awards of the year: the best male athlete of the year: Shi Yuqi; Best mixed doubles combination of the year: Huang Dongping/Feng Yanzhe; Best men's doubles combination of the year: Liang Weikeng/Wang Chang; Best women's doubles combination of the year: Liu Shengshu/Tan Ning; Best Disabled Male Athlete of the Year: Qu Zimo WH1;; Best Disabled Female Athlete of the Year: Liu Yutong WH2 and Li Fengmei SH6.Lee Ka Chiu John: Hong Kong is committed to becoming a leading global risk management center. In a speech at the Asia Insurance Forum 2024 held in Hong Kong on the 10th, Lee Ka Chiu John, Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) said that Hong Kong is committed to becoming a leading global risk management center. Lee Ka Chiu John said that as one of the three largest financial centers in the world, Hong Kong has about 160 authorized insurance companies, including six of the top ten insurance companies in the world. At present, Hong Kong has issued five catastrophe bonds, raising more than 700 million US dollars to resist typhoons, earthquakes and other natural disasters and provide risk mitigation measures for the global joint response to climate change. He stressed that as the region with the highest concentration of insurance companies and the highest insurance density in Asia, Hong Kong is committed to becoming a leading global risk management center. The SAR Government will continue to invite mainland and overseas enterprises in China to set up exclusive self-insurance companies in Hong Kong.

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